Manifold builds tools for self-understanding and human connection, grounded in causal discovery — not correlations, not heuristics, not population averages.
Most technology extracts from people — attention, data, money. We build technology that gives back: self-understanding, genuine connection, liberation from patterns you didn't choose.
This is a deep long-term incremental endeavor for us, based in exploration and a series of commercial products.
What we're building
Balance
Patent pendingSee what's actually driving your mood patterns. Wearable integration, mood tracking, and personal insights — personalized to you, not population averages.
Learn moreCausal
Patent pendingDevices that measure the health of your life, starting with sense, a room and air monitor, and an app that puts them beside your phone and wearables to work out what causes what.
Learn moreWhy causal discovery
Most apps tell you what happened. “Your sleep was bad and your mood dropped.” That's correlation. It's not enough.
We want to tell you why — what actually caused what, for you specifically.
Distinguish causes from effects
Not all signals are equal. Causal discovery reveals which factors are upstream causes and which are downstream effects.
Recognize patterns early
Identify the patterns that precede changes before they compound, so you can respond rather than react.
Target causes, not proxies
Suggestions grounded in causal structure, not correlational patterns that may be spurious or confounded.
How we work
Individual-level models
Each person has their own causal structure. We build models specific to you, not averages that may not apply.
Longitudinal data
Causal discovery requires data over time. Our products are designed for continuous, low-friction data collection.
Multi-modal integration
Wearables, self-reports, journaling, and behavioral signals — unified in a causal framework where each modality adds depth.
Actionable insight
Understanding isn't the endpoint. We want to help you act on what you learn — change what matters, not what merely correlates.
Our values
Individual-first
Technology should serve people, not extract from them. Everything we build prioritizes your wellbeing and autonomy.
Privacy as a feature
We use post-quantum encryption and never sell data. Privacy isn't a compliance checkbox — it's core to our product.
Methodological rigor
Our work is grounded in causal inference, not trend-chasing. We take the science seriously because the stakes are personal.
Transparency
You know what data we collect and why. You understand how our system arrives at its insights. No black boxes.
Building something that matters
We're looking for people who share our vision — researchers, engineers, and anyone who believes technology can help people understand themselves better.